Smart voting, smart outcomes

By Christopher Majka’s predictive model shows 49 Key Contest ridings in Canada that are significantly in play in terms of Conservative or non-Conservative outcomes. These show that “smart voting” benefits all the opposition parties and could have a significant effect on the election.

 A. Thirty of these are ridings where opposition parties are positioned to defeat a Conservative incumbent. In these:

 1. The BQ is best positioned to win 3 of these seats;

 2. The Liberals are best positioned to win 20 of these seats;

 3. The NDP is best positioned to win 6 of these seats;

 4. The Greens are best positioned to win 1 of these seats.

 B. Nineteen ridings are currently held by the BQ, Liberals, or NDP. In these Conservatives are making a strong bid to attempt to split the progressive vote and come up the middle.

 In most of these ridings it will only require a modest proportion of voters to move one way or the other to make a huge difference in the election results. 

 If a sufficient number of Canadians embrace "smart voting" to:

 1. Coalesce the vote around the opposition candidate best positioned to defeat the Conservatives; and

2. Prevent the Conservatives from poaching opposition seats through splitting of the progressive vote.

 It will transform the House election results.

 Smart voting doesn't require that all opposition votes shift to the candidate best positioned to defeat a Conservative candidate. In many cases only a relatively small proportion of that progressive vote will be sufficient to make a change in the outcome.

 Let everyone you can know about Project Democracy. This initial analysis illustrates just how significant a game changer smart voting can be.