Simcoe--Grey

Only 60.1 percent voter turnout in this riding in 2008.

Riding Projections

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Candidates

This would normally be a safe Conservative seat. However Helena Guergis is running as an independent. It is possible that the Conservative vote will split between Guergis and Leitch. The NDP and Green have 11,000 votes between them and no hope of winning. The Liberals got over 12,000 votes last time so Alexander Smardenka could run up the middle and win. With collective voting and a Conservative split vote this is now a good place to defeat the Conservatives.

About the Riding Predictions

The riding predictions you see on Project Democracy are based on a model that uses the 2008 election results (with some exceptions noted in specific ridings) and current polling to help voters understand what the public polls probably mean in their constituency. Read more

Strategic voting can't help stop Harper in this riding, but consider signing up with VotePair.ca to swap your vote with someone willing to vote strategically in a riding where it can.