Kenora
Only 54.5 percent voter turnout in this riding in 2008.
Riding Projections
This is a rematch between Liberal Roger Valley, NDP Tania Cameron and Conservative Greg Rickford. Last time Conservative Rickford ran right up the middle and defeated Valley. The Greens received 1,000 votes, the NDP's Cameron just over 5,000 votes and was 2,000 back from the Liberal. The Conservatives won by just 2,000 votes. This was three-way vote splitting pure and simple that elected the Conservative. It would be tragic to repeat this situation when a Conservatives can be un-seated.
Until this week the indications were that Liberal Roger Valley has the best chance. This week's regional polling results have moved the NDP upwards, making this race is too close to call. Unfortunately this riding was not in our roster for local polling. We are not making a pick for now and will be looking for any/all means to decipher whether a viable call is possible over the next few days to avoid a Tory win.
About the Riding Predictions
The riding predictions you see on Project Democracy are based on a model that uses the 2008 election results (with some exceptions noted in specific ridings) and current polling to help voters understand what the public polls probably mean in their constituency. Read more
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