Guelph
Only 64.6 percent voter turnout in this riding in 2008.
Riding Projections
CandidatesThis is a riding where vote-splitting could easily elect a Conservative this time. Green party candidate Mike Nagy is not running again this election. He was responsible for much of the Green strength in the riding last election.
In 2008, the Conservatives came within a stone's throw of beating Liberal Frank Valeriote. If the election were held today and the Greens held their vote, Valeriote would be a casualty of vote splitting and the Conservatives would win in Guelph. The Liberal candidate is the best bet this time around to fend off Harper.
About the Riding Predictions
The riding predictions you see on Project Democracy are based on a model that uses the 2008 election results (with some exceptions noted in specific ridings) and current polling to help voters understand what the public polls probably mean in their constituency. Read more
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